Monday, September 16, 2019

We might be nearing the end of the economic expansion and the stock market cycle

The conditions today are that investors are heavily invested in equities in the US. They are bullish, otherwise you would not have all these IPOs of companies that do not make any money and they immediately go up in the secondary market and you would not have the high valuations among FAANG stocks. There is a lot of optimism about US equities and cash levels are low. So, any disappointment could lead to a longer term decline in the market. 

I do not believe you will get the crash like in Argentina where essentially in dollar terms, the stock market performance was down 37% and the currency was down so altogether more than 50% in one day! That is a crash, 50% in one day. I do not think you will get that in the US. 


via economictimes

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