Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Problems in Asia- Household debt, asset prices....

Most of the Asian economies are not growing much. Some may even be contracting. Moreover over the last 5 years, everywhere in Asia, the household debt as a percent of the economy has exploded, in other words a lot of growth was driven by unsustainable credit growth. 

The household debt levels are relatively high, the asset prices are high, the affordability of buying homes has diminished and many countries have had currency weaknesses and their currency account surplus has turned to deficits. 

Some countries like India, Indonesia had to push up interest rates to support their currencies. I'm not overly negative in the Asian regions but if a bubble bursts in China it would have a devastating impact on the surrounding countries.