Monday, August 26, 2013

India is a mess

Marc Faber on India:
The Indian government has created a huge problem, as it has under-reported the rate of increase in the cost-of-living or inflation. And by not measuring inflation properly, the government has kept interest rates negative in real terms. What the government can do or should do is, though it can be painful, it should increase rates substantially, stabilize the rupee. To increase rates would imply lot of pain in the economy temporarily, but in the long term, it would be desirable.

On the Indian Government policies
I am not very optimistic about India on the macroeconomic front, and it has to do with the government policies. The economic policies of the government are by and large a disaster; the government could have done more. The government in India, through its incredible bureaucracy, has retarded economic growth in the last 20-30 years by at least 3% per annum in real terms. It's a miracle that the Indian economy has performed well, considering the quality of its government.