US Dollar, Singapore Dollar, Malaysian Ringgit

I bought Treasury bonds and I have a lot of cash. It is mostly in U.S. dollars. I also have Singapore dollars, and Malaysian ringgit.

Buy 10 Year treasury and short Rusell 2000

What I recommend to clients and what I do with my own portfolio aren't always the same. That said, my first recommendation is to short the Russell 2000. You can use the iShares Russell 2000 exchange-traded fund [IWM]. Small stocks have outperformed large stocks significantly in the past few years.

Next, I would buy 10-year Treasury notes, because I don't believe in this magnificent U.S. economic recovery. The U.S. is going to turn down, and bond yields are going to fall. 

Not positive on US Stocks, specially Rusell 2000

I am negative about U.S. stocks, and the Russell 2000 in particular. 

An analysis of Federal Reserve data suggests that half the U.S. population has seen a 40% decrease in wealth since 2007.

In Reminiscences of a Stock Operator [a fictionalized account of the trader Jesse Livermore that has become a Wall Street classic], Livermore said, "It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight." 

Here's another thought from John Hussmann of the Hussmann Funds: "The problem with bubbles is that they force one to decide whether to look like an idiot before the peak, or an idiot after the peak. There's no calling the top, and most of the signals that have been most historically useful for that purpose have been blaring red since late 2011."

Marc Faber reflects on bubbles and gold

Marc Faber speaks on the importance of the Chinese economy to emerging economies, and specially to its neighboring Asian countries:

"To clarify a point about the size of the U.S. economy and its importance in the world, China imported 12% of global metals consumed in 2000. Now it imports up to 47% a year. China's growth has a major impact on emerging economies. The U.S. has no impact because it is a service economy. China has gone from sending less than a million travelers overseas in the mid-1980s to 100 million now. You hardly see American tourists in Asia any more."


Marc Faber on finding investment ideas currently and why Gold could go higher:

"All asset prices are in the sky, whether it is Picassos or Warhols or the flat that Steve Cohen is trying to sell. We are in a bubble. We are the bubble. It is only a question of which asset is in a lesser bubble. The U.S. is expensive, compared to the European market and especially emerging economies. Based on the level of today's secular adjusted P/E, returns in the next seven to 10 years will be minor, if not meaningless. The Mexican stock market went up 343 times between 1984 and '87 because of money-printing. Then the currency collapsed. The dollar can't collapse, so gold will come to the forefront."

What could crash stocks in 2014

Its interesting that despite all the money printing bond yields didnt go down, they bottomed out on July 25th 2012 at 1.43 percent of the 10 year. We are now 2.85 percent. We are up substantially. This hasnt had an impact on stocks yet. Infact it pushed money into the stock market out of the bond market. 

But if they 10 years goes to three and half to four percent and the 30 year goes to close to five percent, the mortgage rates go 6 percent, that will hit the economy very hard.